The Israeli-Palestinian Peace Process
The US sponsored peace process is on the brink of collapsing. The blame game already started.
John Kerry, US Secretary of State, is feverishly trying to prevent the process from total failure, but the Palestinian President Mahmoud Abbas, complicated the matter by unilaterally apply for membership of the International Criminal Court (ICC) and other UN linked organisations. By doing this, the Palestinians bypassed the letter and spirit of the Oslo Accord, which states clearly that final status agreements can only be reached through negotiations.
Israel responded by cancelling the release of the final round of Palestinian prisoners, among them, Marwan Barghouti, who was responsible for the killing of many Israeli’s. The correct and legitimate decision of the Israeli government under the current circumstances angered ordinary Palestinians and they took to the streets in protest.
The Hamas ruled Gaza also responded by firing rockets into Israeli towns in the south and the Israel Air Force (IAF) quickly retaliated by hitting five targets in northern and southern Gaza. The commander of the Israel Defence Force (IDF) even hinted that Gaza should be invaded and taken over.
What can we derive from the current situation? I believe we should look at the following scenarios:
The US succeeds in getting the process back on track
The Palestinians should then cancel their application for membership of the ICC and other UN bodies.
Israel should then restart the process of prisoner release.
The issues of East Jerusalem as capital of a future Palestinian state and Judea and Samaria (West Bank) are back on the table.
The Peace Process halted
The Palestinians go ahead in seeking recognition at the United Nations and the ICC. Their strategy with the ICC is to bring charges against Israel.
A final breakdown in negotiations could result in violent resistance and protests in the streets.
Some European countries may opt for boycotts and sanctions against Israel.
Iran and its proxies may start a conflagration with Israel.
Benjamin Netanyahu, Prime Minister of Israel said on Friday that he is willing to continue talks “but not at any price.” The coming weeks will give us a clearer picture of how the situation unfolds.
Watch video: Jerusalem: The Media Myth of Two Cities